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Yes. Existing truck owners will not buy this truck. They will be afraid they will be laughed at by other truck owners like themselves.

Trucks are very much a product that identifies you as "one of us" vs "one of them". The Cybertruck will fail that test utterly. Owning one screams "I'm one of THEM". Not what you want if you want to make inroads in the mainstream pickup market. (Not to mention that recharging a truck with a 220V line in rural America, where folks often park nowhere near their house, will be a major problem.)

Yes, this truck will be popular initially among well-heeled yuppies who want to stand out -- probably taken entirely from the existing Tesla S market (or S wannabes). But unless you leave SF/NYC/Boston every once in a while, you don't realize how small that world really is. No more than 5% of this country can afford an S. And while this truck is more affordable than an S, its appeal is much narrower. It will attract only the vanishingly small Venn intersection space that's Tesla S + pickup-drivers-who-don't-actually-haul-anything.

This thing will flash on the radar for a year or two, in small sales numbers, then die utterly, with poor sales used thereafter, once the fashionista bloom fades.



Do you realize how much full sized diesel trucks cost? They typically start at $50k, and can be configured close to $100k. People are buying them. Whether they can afford them, who knows, but they do sell. Flyover country is not broke. Plenty of these expensive trucks around here; I drive a Leaf.

Good point though about the outdoor charging, but running an external charger is cheap and easy on rural property. Some diesels have block heaters anyway.

What will be interesting to see is the range when towing. This thing will have the torque of 350 diesels, but what about the range in towing, compared to dual tanks. Operating costs could be far less with electricity.


Yep. Phoenix resident here; can confirm that expensive full-size trucks are the norm for well-heeled folk of all cultural strata in this region. I live in a fairly affluent section of the city and big, costly pickup trucks are _far_ more common than luxury sedans or especially sports cars.


But unless you leave SF/NYC/Boston every once in a while, you don't realize how small that world really is

Translation: "I've never been to Dallas or Houston."


Conservative talk radio has made Tesla and Elon Musk, one of the top 5 villains to rural America for years.

The Tesla Pickup was never going to make inroads there. The way is blocked.

They are focusing entirely on the small but growing market of democrats who demand EV's, and may also need a truck.


That market probably includes me. I bought a new Honda Ridgeline this year -- a truck that many consider not to be a 'real' truck since it doesn't go offroad or haul 7000+ pound loads. The Cybertruck will surely suffer the same fate.

Are there enough buyers out there of quasi-trucks for the Cybertruck to thrive (no) much less survive (doubtful). Even now, Honda isn't selling as many of their quasi-trucks as they hoped since that market stratum is not as predictable as other more stereotypeable strata like minivans or commuters or... big pickups.

I don't know what motivates a mainstream carmaker to build a niche product like this. But whatever is motivating Tesla to build the Cybertruck smacks of the same cluelessness that gave us the Hummer. And the Edsel.


Just remember... The Tesla Cybertruck is always just a single "Fast & The Furious" movie away from being the most popular car in America.

Seriously, the cluelessness that gave us the Hummer didn't matter when Arnold Schawzenneger made it the only car he drove.

The Rock could do the same thing with the Cyber Truck.


Wot? I have a Ram 3500 and just put a pre-order in. Careful with your blanket statements.


Careful with your anecdotes.


Nice analysis but orders are going through the roof at an unprecedented rate so you have already been proved wrong.




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