Models like this should be used to design efficient response and mitigation efforts. Like "there's a chance of a drought emptying the water reservoir, so let's closely monitor the levels, move the water-intense agriculture to less affected areas, and use controlled burns to minimize the chance of massive wildfires".
Except instead, they get spearheaded by various kinds of attention seekers and corporate PR departments, and end up with policies that inconvenience the consumer while doing little to address the root cause. So no, we are not taxing agricultural water usage to make almond growing in areas with limited water supply unprofitable, we'll instead shame people who want to have a shower every day. We won't do anything about the planned obsolescence of plastic consumer-grade items with no spare parts, but we'll force everyone to buy paper grocery bags (for more corporate profit) and separate garbage bags. The examples are endless - we make the policies based on emotions rather than the repeated cycle of quantifying, prioritizing and verifying, and then we wonder why everyone is depressed and does not believe in the future anymore.
these policies are a product of pathological incentives as well as emotional decision making - there are scientists and engineers building free, open source tools to do exactly as you propose, but more of them are building things attention seekers can use to grease (g)ears for cash or clout, and the systems making this possible are fusing with or already indistinguishable from evolving models of governance
millions of people and machines are busy quantifying, prioritizing and verifying - where these efforts don't actively perpetuate flagrantly bad policy, they are too often inadequately coordinated to prevent it
it's not only our brains that are poorly equipped to optimize for long term human wellbeing but our social technologies - luckily we have more choice in the latter, we ought to exercise it
Except instead, they get spearheaded by various kinds of attention seekers and corporate PR departments, and end up with policies that inconvenience the consumer while doing little to address the root cause. So no, we are not taxing agricultural water usage to make almond growing in areas with limited water supply unprofitable, we'll instead shame people who want to have a shower every day. We won't do anything about the planned obsolescence of plastic consumer-grade items with no spare parts, but we'll force everyone to buy paper grocery bags (for more corporate profit) and separate garbage bags. The examples are endless - we make the policies based on emotions rather than the repeated cycle of quantifying, prioritizing and verifying, and then we wonder why everyone is depressed and does not believe in the future anymore.