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That's not the right question to ask. The right question to ask is, "Can self-driving tech kill fewer than 30,000 people a year, as humans do now?"

If you kill the R&D goose or smother it in overregulation, more people will die.



Or if the R&D phase kills so many people the public loses faith in the whole idea ... then you get to wait a generation for people to forget


Why don't we see if anything like that happens before just assuming it will? The precautionary principle is a recipe for eternal stagnation.


R&D would have to be killing 30,000*%oftheirvehicles per year.


We're talking about perception. Regardless, Tesla won't release the data per mile driven and seems to be dodging reporting regulations -- if not daring regulators to respond.

Feels to me like amateurs (backed by a small army) confidently building bridges and daring the community to try and stop them. (Except Tesla's army are fan boys, lobbyists, and lawyers.) So basically speed running a millennium of civil engineering, except ignoring the more expensive safety controls; like LIDAR.




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