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We build most houses to last for centuries when properly maintained. We also know from experience that few houses go more than 50 years without a major remodel so we don't overbuild making that impossible.


> We also know from experience that few houses go more than 50 years without a major remodel

Well obviously, if we don't build houses to last longer than a few decades. You're describing a symptom not a reason.


People's needs change. Technology marches on. My house was built in 1973, next week i'm throwing away a furnace that is still working like new because it is 60% efficient. I don't know how efficient the air conditioner is, but it is being replaced by a heat pump that will be better. If it wasn't so expensive the windows that are working like new would go as well for something more energy efficient. I'm also considering (unlikely but considering) options to make my kitchen larger like what a new house would have as this lacks some functionality of a modern kitchen. Previous owners added a few extra bedrooms in the 1980s. This house was built without cable tv or internet wiring, some of that was added latter, but not to every room (and.with modern wifi probably isn't needed anymore. I haven't tested, but i'm sure the pipes were soldered with lead, the paint might have lead underneath, and there could be asbestos in places.

My house is typical for a house its age. I have no idea what people will want from a house in 2073, but it will be at least somewhat different from today. Some of that will be style of course, but some will be real functional differences.


It's not like these needs can't be anticipated. The wiring problem can be solved by running conduit, or at least making fishing easy. As for the heating, the basic problem of pushing around hot air or hot water just isn't going to change, regardless of the details of how it's accomplished.

My point is that it's possible to build a house with with a lasting structure that can be updated for new technologies as they arise relatively easily, but we don't do that because the home building industry is overrun with corner cutting.

If you visit old houses (pre-war) you can see that the general quality of the construction is just considerably higher than the crackerjack boxes we've been erecting since the '50s. Sure, there is an element of survivorship bias, and some of the legacy stuff is ugly to deal with (lead paint, asbestos, horsehair, and knob and tube, I'm looking at you), but overall they were built to last in a way that new construction today just isn't.


You obviously have not looked at old houses in detail. They are far worse quality than today. Sure they may have used old growth lumber which was slightly stronger, but they had no concept of what was quality. I've seen 2x4 used for floor joists, no insulation in walls, and many other engineering failures. And of course there is survivorship bias, the worst examples are torn down already.

Sure the old houses looked stronger, and and often were in places where strength is not needed. However they often are lacking in critical areas.


Even the things you mention have changes: what about a ton of conduit runs for POTS lines that now seem quaint? Many of these, even if in conduit, aren't in locations where slapping an Ethernet jack makes sense. Duct work for fossil fuel furnaces is often undersized for heat pumps or AC that needs to flow a certain amount of air to function.




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