> Why do we assume that we know better and people with far more knowledge and insight would all be wrong?
Because of historical precedent. Bitcoin was the future until it wasn't. NFTs and blockchain were the future until they weren't. The Metaverse was the future until it wasn't. Theranos was the future until it wasn't. I don't think LLMs are quite on the same level as those scams, but they smell pretty similar: they're being pushed primarily by sales- and con-men eager to get in on the scam before it collapses. The amount being spent on LLMs right now is way out of line with the usefulness we are getting out of them. Once the bubble pops and the tools have a profitability requirement introduced, I think they'll just be quietly integrated into a few places that make sense and otherwise abandoned. This isn't the world-changing tech it's being made out to be.
Because of historical precedent. Bitcoin was the future until it wasn't. NFTs and blockchain were the future until they weren't. The Metaverse was the future until it wasn't. Theranos was the future until it wasn't. I don't think LLMs are quite on the same level as those scams, but they smell pretty similar: they're being pushed primarily by sales- and con-men eager to get in on the scam before it collapses. The amount being spent on LLMs right now is way out of line with the usefulness we are getting out of them. Once the bubble pops and the tools have a profitability requirement introduced, I think they'll just be quietly integrated into a few places that make sense and otherwise abandoned. This isn't the world-changing tech it's being made out to be.