Before I read the article, Ill summarize the facts that seem to be hard and true about climate :
- we are nearing or at +1.5C above pre-industrial baseline
- human carbon burning CO2 emissions are at a max and likely long plateau
- mean temp is rising by around +0.3C per decade
- we will be nearing +2.0C in around 15 years, 2040 give or take
- warming is mainly caused by us humans burning carbon, emitting CO2 and some CH4
- if we reach net-zero, we will be at peak CO2 and thus peak heat, for a long while
In addition, the only economically viable way to bring down the temp seems to be deliberate pollution by emitting sulphur or other particles aka Solar Radiation Management to brighten clouds, reduce heat absorption by the ocean. Volcanoes and shipping fuels have essentially proven that this brings down the temperature, in the short term.
We geo-engineered our way into this hot mess, and we will need to geo-engineer our way out of it.
If the temp reaches +2.5 or +3C .. I think that means quite a lot of crop failure, forced migration, geopolitical tension, lack of stable food supply.. and death to a large number of humans seems to follow logically from that.
So, now Ill look at the article to see if any of these tough truths were mentioned ..
sorta-kinda no-so-much, it seems like he thinks things are not that urgent. ?!?
- we are nearing or at +1.5C above pre-industrial baseline
- human carbon burning CO2 emissions are at a max and likely long plateau
- mean temp is rising by around +0.3C per decade
- we will be nearing +2.0C in around 15 years, 2040 give or take
- warming is mainly caused by us humans burning carbon, emitting CO2 and some CH4
- if we reach net-zero, we will be at peak CO2 and thus peak heat, for a long while
In addition, the only economically viable way to bring down the temp seems to be deliberate pollution by emitting sulphur or other particles aka Solar Radiation Management to brighten clouds, reduce heat absorption by the ocean. Volcanoes and shipping fuels have essentially proven that this brings down the temperature, in the short term.
We geo-engineered our way into this hot mess, and we will need to geo-engineer our way out of it.
If the temp reaches +2.5 or +3C .. I think that means quite a lot of crop failure, forced migration, geopolitical tension, lack of stable food supply.. and death to a large number of humans seems to follow logically from that.
So, now Ill look at the article to see if any of these tough truths were mentioned .. sorta-kinda no-so-much, it seems like he thinks things are not that urgent. ?!?