> No physics expert but isn't this unpredictable (based on what I saw in series) ?
A three-body orbital problem is an example of a chaotic system, meaning a system extraordinarily sensitive to initial conditions. So no, not unpredictable in the classical sense, because you can always get the same result for the same initial conditions, but it's a system very sensitive to initial settings.
> Amd this does seem predictable, I saw this for almost a minute
The fact that it remains calculable indefinitely isn't evidence that it's predictable in advance -- consider the solar system, which technically is also a chaotic system (as is any orbital system with more than two bodies).
For example, when we spot a new asteroid, we can make calculations about its future path, but those are just estimates of future behavior. Such estimates have a time horizon, after which we can no longer offer reliable assurances about its future path.
You mentioned the TV series. The story is pretty realistic about what a civilization would face if trapped in a three-solar-body system, because the system would have a time horizon past which predictions would become less and less reliable.
I especially like the Three Body Problem series because, unlike most sci-fi, it includes accurate science -- at least in places.
> There are stable solutions. See: Earth’s Moon (or any other planetary moon in the solar system).
Those are not stable solutions. Remember that Earth's moon only came into existence because of a collision with a protoplanet in the past, and if a large enough body passed close by in the future, we might lose our moon -- all because of the complexity of orbital systems with more than two members.
> (or any other planetary moon in the solar system)
There are any number of examples of planets gaining and/or losing moons because of multi-body orbital complexity.
If you are presupposing external perturbations or collisions, it's not an N=3 system... we're talking about the three body problem. A tidally locked system with periodic resonance is permanently stable in the absence of external forces.
> If you are presupposing external perturbations or collisions, it's not an N=3 system... we're talking about the three body problem.
Let me clarify something. A "three body problem" system is any orbital system with more than two bodies. The term "three-body problem" certainly doesn't mean systems with only three bodies.
> A tidally locked system with periodic resonance is permanently stable in the absence of external forces.
No. In an orbital system with more than two bodies, external forces are the name of the game. For such a system, the expression "permanently stable" cannot apply. Such a system is not open to a closed-form solution and all such systems must be modeled numerically.
Closed-form solutions are available for orbits with two bodies, and can sometimes approximate the behavior of systems with more than two, but the reliability of such a model degrades rapidly as time increases, until the predictions become meaningless.
From https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orbit_of_the_Moon : "The properties of the orbit described in this section are approximations. The Moon's orbit around Earth has many variations (perturbations) due to the gravitational attraction of the Sun and planets, the study of which [ ... ] has a long history."
A three-body orbital problem is an example of a chaotic system, meaning a system extraordinarily sensitive to initial conditions. So no, not unpredictable in the classical sense, because you can always get the same result for the same initial conditions, but it's a system very sensitive to initial settings.
> Amd this does seem predictable, I saw this for almost a minute
The fact that it remains calculable indefinitely isn't evidence that it's predictable in advance -- consider the solar system, which technically is also a chaotic system (as is any orbital system with more than two bodies).
For example, when we spot a new asteroid, we can make calculations about its future path, but those are just estimates of future behavior. Such estimates have a time horizon, after which we can no longer offer reliable assurances about its future path.
You mentioned the TV series. The story is pretty realistic about what a civilization would face if trapped in a three-solar-body system, because the system would have a time horizon past which predictions would become less and less reliable.
I especially like the Three Body Problem series because, unlike most sci-fi, it includes accurate science -- at least in places.