This administration does appear to be flaming out a bit at least. Seems like there's a chance the Dems take the House before the 2026 midterms. I think there's a chance Trump's term ends early.
I think the recent Tennessee election shows that even though things have soured, they haven't soured enough for sweeping changes in elections. Special elections are strange litmus tests to be basing anything on. Regardless of what polls may lead you to believe, there are still plenty of people that will not vote for the other party regardless of how "bad" their party's candidate is.
To regain control of both houses with enough margins to ensure impeachment & conviction would be an incredible swing. I just don't see it happening.
Texas just got its redrawn maps approved by SCOTUS. I'm still expecting SCOTUS to reject California's though when that case comes to them. The court will do its part in keeping the GOP in power.
TN shows that the Dems can't get their shit together and run an appropriate candidate in a Trump +22 seat. Instead they primaried their other candidates in a 28/25/24/23 split and chose a DSA candidate to lose the general. This is why I'm not optimistic about Dems winning the legislature, especially the Senate.
I've speculated for a while that what he does is so over the top and frequently self-destructive that I wonder if he's actually trying to get kicked out.
But while I agree that there's a chance, I think it's vanishingly small. I do hope that the dems can take the house in the midterms and put the brakes on the massive expansion in executive power.
The cynic in me things the Dems take the legislative branch next year, curtail executive power but are unable to undo anything and then win a massively nerfed executive position in 2028.
I'm with you. I also think it would not take long before we all found out that the Supreme Court only embraces limitless executive power when the office is held by their party. We've already seen evidence of that, Trump has succeeded using arguments that Biden failed with just a couple years ago. Right about the time 2028 rolls around, the Supreme Court will suddenly decide that they've gone too far and need to reel in an out-of-control executive branch.
